Hill Slowinski • Real Estate: Blog: District of Columbia

Maryland and Virginia Among Highest for Technology, Business Friendliness

CNN Money.com and CNBC.com just released their 2010 lists - Top Earning Towns, Best 100 Small Cities to Live,and CNBC for Top States for Business- and The Washington Post announced the area's education level.

Bethesda, MD has the highest median family income in the US, according to CNN Money.com.  Ellicott City/Columbia, Maryland is named by a CNN survey as #2 Best Small City to Live in the country, up from #8 in 2008, with its  grand homes, a lovely 18th-century downtown, lots of restaurants, wide range of housing, tons of parkland, and a major music venue.  It's also an economic powerhouse with a jobless rate at just 5.2%.

Also named by CNN as high on the list were Gaithersburg, MD (# 25), Centerville, VA (#30), Rockville, MD (#31), and Alexandria, VA (#41).

CNBC named Virginia as #2 overall of the top states for business, bumped out if its 2009 #1 slot by Texas this year. Maryland remained in its #27 position overall, same slot as 2009.  In individual categories, Maryland ranked #8 in Technology and Innovation, and Virginia #2 in Business Friendliness, same as in 2009.

In addition, the Washington DC area has the best-educated population in the nation, as reported in The Post.

See:  http://money.cnn.com/magazines/moneymag/bplive/2010/snapshots/PL2718116.html

See:  http://www.cnbc.com/id/37516043/

See:  http://bit.ly/9Wzfun

See:  http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/07/14/AR2010071405751.html

An Alternative to Brokerage

As consultant to clients who wish to explore all the available avenues for the disposition of real estate, I occasionally am asked what are the characteristics and benefits of the traditional brokerage vs. the marketing method in support of an auction.

Briefly, a transaction conducted in traditional brokerage is a negotiation that occurs over a period of time, with a seller and buyer bargaining and eventually coming to agreement on all terms, conditions, contingencies, prices, and schedule for settlement.  Auctions, on the other hand, are deliberate and competitive interactions among all willing buyers to offer a price for the seller to accept, without negotiation of all the other terms, conditions, contingencies, and settlement date. Those terms are pre-established by the seller and set forth in a property information package.

• Three types of residential auctions: Absolute (no minimum or reserve); Public Minimum (published and made known to buyers), and Reserve (confidential minimum amount set by the seller).

• Seller benefits: Quicker sale; maximum advertising exposure; maximize buyer participation; maximize dollars; no contingencies; property sold in as-is condition; buyer pays all documentary stamps and transfer taxes; commission free to seller in most auctions.

• Buyer benefits: Auctions are fun; bidding process is open and fair; buyers buy at their prices; decision to bid is reinforced by the immediately preceding bid; buyers compete on a level playing field with other buyers because terms and conditions are the same for all.

If you think this alternative might be right for you, call me and I'll help you make an informed decision.  For more information, contact me to talk about whether thisthis is an approach you could consider.

F. Hill Slowinski, JD, REALTOR^® in DC, MD, and VA
W.C. & A.N. Miller Realtors, A Long & Foster Company
Exclusive Affiliate of Christie's Great Estates,  President's Club 2009
Consultant, Luxury Real Estate, Sloans & Kenyon Auctioneers and Appraisers
4701 Sangamore Road, Bethesda, Maryland  20816
Tel: 301-229-4000  Fax: 301-229-4015
Direct: 301-320-8430 · Cell: 301-452-1409 
Email:  HSlowinski@LNF.com  ·  Web Site: www.HillSlowinski.com 
Weblog: http://HillSlowinskiRealEstate.com

3420 Porter St., NW, Washington, DC 20016 - Available for the first time in 65 years.

• Offered for $1,350,000. 
• MRIS# DC7336115. 
• Open House 5/16, 1-4 PM

This classic 1913 Victorian is filled with character and charm and is located in the heart of Cleveland Park. It features large sun-filled rooms, high coffered ceiling, handsome stone fireplace, gleaming hardwood floors, freshly painted throughout, original architectural details, and terrific space and storage areas. Its four levels include six large bedrooms plus a second floor library with fireplace, separate garage, and private landscaped rear garden.

With its orientation on the hillside, this is one of the more admired homes in historic Cleveland Park. The majestic 1913 pebbledash Victorian retains its original details and a very open feeling starting with its romantic wide front porch overlooking Porter Street.

The home is generous and spacious with well-proportioned rooms. Flow is excellent for entertaining, from the gracious entrance foyer, through the living room with its fieldstone fireplace, to the dining room with coffered ceiling, which opens to the brick patio and exceptional private rear South garden.

Situated in the heart of Cleveland Park midway between Wisconsin and Connecticut Avenues, the home is near top public and private schools, very close to fine shops and restaurants, and in the best Cleveland Park location. Walk easily to restaurants, parks, libraries, theaters, schools, and shops.

This rarely available home offers its original woodwork, high ceilings, and central air conditioning.  It is deceptively spacious with almost 3,000 sq.ft. of living space, and it is offered in "As Is" condition.

CLICK HERE for more information. (Brochure, photos, YouTube Virtual Tour, and much more)

Positive Trend Reverses Declines Since 2004

New sales contracts in 2009 for residential properties were 21% ahead of 2008.   The number of properties on the market at the end of 2009 was 25% lower than the end of 2008 -- a five month supply. This is a market which most housing economists feel is in balance between buyers and sellers. 

Falling property values opened the door for a new group of homebuyers who had been priced out of the market for several years. Average and median sales prices of single family homes, still well below 2008 prices, are affected by the larger than usual percentage of home sales at lower to moderate prices, bringing the average and median down.  For condominiums/coops, where sales are about even, the reverse is true, thereby inflating those numbers.

Single-Family

Fueled by huge increases in the low end of the market, sales of single-family homes finished the year 23% ahead of 2008 in number of settlements and 28% ahead in number of total pending sales.  As a result, sales of homes priced below $200,000 were up an incredible 262% over last year.  Sales of homes between $200,000 and $300,000 had a 32% gain, while homes priced from $400,000 to $600,000 were up 16% over 2008. 

In 2009, 57% of  sales under $200,000 were foreclosures while only 9% of the homes sold over $200,000 were listed as foreclosures.

Sales of homes priced above $800,000 were down 9% for the year, with sales over $1.5 million down 12%.  In the upper brackets, in December pending sales of homes above $1.25 million were up 54% over 2008 and homes between $600,000 and $800,000 saw a 119% increase.  Overall, pending sales in December were up 27% from last year. 

The inventory of available homes at the beginning of 2010 is 28% below 2008 EOY inventory. The effective inventory was 4.3 months, well below the 2008 year-end number of 7.57 months.  Inventory has continued to fall to the point where some neighborhoods and price ranges are suffering from a lack of inventory.

The year ended with the average home price down 17% from 2008 and the median price down 18%. 

Condominiums and Cooperatives

Sales of condos and co-ops ended with a 9% gain over 2008.    Condo/co-op sales also had a large increase in the lower end of the market, with units priced below $150,000 up 66% from last year.   There were also advances in the upper end of the market as sales of units between $800,000 and $1,000,000 jumped 59% over last year, while sales of units over $1.5 million were up 20%.  There were also 13% increases in the $300,000 to $400,000 and the $500,000 to $600,000 ranges.

The year ended on a mixed note for condominium and cooperative sales in December.  The year ended with 6.26 months of inventory, down from the 9.57 months at the end of 2008.

The total inventory of available units ended the year at the lowest point in four years, 22% below the same point last year.  This indicates new condos introduced to the market over the last few years has finally been absorbed, and with very few new condo projects scheduled to come on the market in the next year, the signs are good for a strong 2010 in the DC condo market. 

2010 Outlook

The gains for moderate priced homes were possible because of increased affordability and the availability of financing under the FHA and Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac up to $729,750.  Conversely, sales of homes above this limit were affected by the lack of available financing and strict down payment and credit score guidelines.  

Looking ahead to the single-family market in 2010, low inventories and increased sales (hopefully combined with increased availability of credit) should bring a moderate increase to home prices for the first time in two years.  It is more likely that prices for both homes and condos/co-ops have declined by at least several percentage points this year but that this decline is close to bottoming out.

 Price trends always trail those of unit sales by up to a year; so with sales starting to increase it is likely that prices will follow sometime by the middle of next year.  But gains for both sales and prices are most likely to be in line with the moderate recovery projected for the overall economy.  

_________________________________________
 

Vacant Property Tax, ‘Economic Interest Tax' on Co-operatives

Focus Now On "Blighted" -- But Wait For Final Release

From October 1, 2008 to September 30, 2009, the District of Columbia taxed vacant properties at $10 per $100 of assessed value (rather than the residential tax rate of $.85 per $100 assessed value) , unless property owners applied for one of several exemptions within 30 days of the property becoming vacant.  As of October 1, 2009, DC has changed its focus to ‘blighted' property, not merely vacant property.  However, since DC has not released the relevant amendments and legislative language to the public, owners should continue to treat their ‘vacant' property as requiring a vacancy exemption or risk being re-classed at the higher tax rate. 

Co-operatives Sales and Transfers Now Taxed

In another change, buyers of co-operatives in Washington had been exempt from paying transfer and recordation taxes because ownership of shares in a co-operative corporation was viewed as a security interest and not ownership of real property.  This change is effective October 1, and the DC government has begun charging an "economic interest tax" on the sale and transfer of co-operatives. The rates are 1.1% on co-operatives with a market value of less than $400,000 and 1.45% for co-ops valued at $400,000 and higher.  

Third Quarter Results Show Prices Stabilizing, Confidence Building 

Led by a surge in single-family sales, new contracts for all residential properties jumped a very impressive 38% from last September.  Nine months into 2009, combined sales are 13% ahead of those at this point in 2008 and the gap between the top of the market in 2004 and now has narrowed to 28%.

There was a slight (2.4%) increase in the number of properties on the market at the end of this September from the same point last year; but with the increase in sales, the effective inventory of homes and units on the market today is down to 3.7 months (higher for condos and co-ops than for single family homes) as compared to 4.9 months in September of 2008.

The average sales price of single family homes, condominiums and cooperatives declined slightly from mid-year but the decline was small enough (in the 2.5% range) to suggest that we may be approaching the bottom.

Single Family Homes

There was a sudden sharp upturn - up 40% from last September -- in the number of new single family contracts in September.  Year-to-date, new contracts were up 21% from a year ago with these gains largely coming from homes priced under $800,000 (over 80%). Home sales are lagging above $800,000 and particularly those over $1,250,000.

Rather surprisingly, fewer new listings came on the market this September than a year ago and with stronger sales the inventory is down nearly 19% from this time in 2008. Some potential sale homes may have been diverted to the rental market for a year or two  (See recent articles at: HillSlowinskiRealEstate.com and HillSlowinski.com).  This has left only a 3.4 months supply of homes currently for sale, which is lower than it has been for years.

Average sale prices are presently off 16% from the end of last year but they are down only 1% from mid year. Median prices are down a similar amount from 2008 but they were actually up a fraction from the end of the second quarter in June.

Condominiums and Cooperatives

New contracts on condominiums and cooperatives rose 35% over September of 2008.  The largest increases over last year were in the $200,000 to $300,000 range (up 48%) and the $500,000 to $800,000 range (up 52%). 

Through nine months of 2009, contract activity on condos and co-ops is up 5% from the same point last year.  Most price categories show slight losses or gains from 2008. The most activity for the year has been in the $300,000 to $400,000 range (28% of the market) and that range is ahead of 2008 by 12%.

The inventory of available units at the end-of-September is 13% lower than at the same point last year.  The effective inventory actually went up slightly to 4.17 months.  The average price of a condo/co-op in the District is even with 2008 prices at this point, while the median price is down 1%. 

Summary

All of this strongly suggests that the decline in single family home prices is nearing an end, but it will take months, probably into next year, before we begin to see even small gains.  With sales apparently on the upswing we can anticipate seeing prices stabilize by late this year or early 2010 but price increases are likely to be modest, at best, after that.  Sales were stronger than any other month this year and all the way back to June of 2005.  Favorable interest rates and concerns that the first-time buyer subsidy may not be renewed certainly contributed to this, but the strength of this upturn certainly indicates at least some improvement in consumer confidence about our local housing market.

"It's all about my clients ... "

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REALTORS®, exclusive affiliate of Christie's Great Estates, or with Sloans & Kenyon in its marketing
association for their luxury real estate needs, they find my service levels cannot be matched. 
          My clients understand and appreciate the need for the extensive resources and professional services
 of a full-time, experienced, dedicated REALTOR to purchase or market their largest asset.
          I always have time to help you, your friends and neighbors, and family.  My goals are to provide
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Recession Hit the Region in a Big Way in ‘08, Driving Down Sales and Prices

By Alejandro Lazo, Washington Post Staff Writer, Saturday, March 28, 2009; F01

 [An interesting overview of the Greater Washington Metropolitan Area market at the end of 2008.  Excerpts for the close-in DC area follow...]

Home sales fell throughout the region as credit dried up and buyers fearful of an increasingly uncertain job market sat on the sidelines. No local jurisdiction except the District was spared from falling home prices, and some of the hardest hit Zip codes in the suburbs had declines of more than $100,000. ...

Region-wide, the median sales price for single-family houses and townhouses fell 8 percent, to $382,500 from $417,000, in 2007, according to a Washington Post analysis of government sales records. The median price for condominiums also fell 8 percent, to $268,000 from $289,900. The median is the point at which half the homes cost more and half cost less.   ...

District of Columbia

- The District fared the best out of all the jurisdictions in the region, according to The Post's analysis. While sales volume slid 30 percent, to 2,239 homes from 3,212 in 2007, the median home price rose 8 percent, to $520,000, from $480,000.   ...

Virginia

- In Fairfax County, the median home price fell 14 percent, to $445,000 from $520,000, and volume declined to 9,852 homes sold from 10,851. Several Zip codes had six-figure drops.

- In Alexandria, the median home price fell 5 percent, to $550,000 from $580,000, while the number of homes sold fell to 832 from 1,315. It remained the region's priciest jurisdiction.

- In Arlington, the median home price fell 7 percent, to $543,000 from $581,000, while the number of homes sold fell to 1,375 from 1,713. ...

Maryland

- Montgomery County experienced the steepest drop in home prices among the suburban Maryland jurisdictions, a sharp reversal for a county that had otherwise withstood some of the worst of the housing bust. The median home price fell 11 percent, to $440,000 from $495,000, and sales volume plummeted to 7,195 from 8,598.

- The housing market in Prince George's County continued to erode. The median home price fell 7 percent in the county, to $314,910 from $340,000, while sales volume fell to 3,831 from 7,993 in 2007.

- In Charles County, the median price fell 5 percent, to $309,990 from $325,000. There were 1,170 sales, down from 1,918.

- In St. Mary's County, the median price fell 7 percent, to $285,000 from $305,000. Sales fell to 899 from 1,080. ...

For Full Article and for link to County-By-County breakdowns, see: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/03/26/AR2009032604075.html

 Hill Slowinski

WC&AN Miller Realtors, A Long&Foster Company

4701 Sangamore Road,  Bethesda, Maryland  20816

Cell: 301-452-1409  Direct: 301-320-8430  Ofc: 301-229-4000

Email: hslowinski@longandfoster.com or Hill@HillSlowinski.com

Web Site: www.HillSlowinski.com